Deano’s answer to: “If I have two kids of the same gender, what is the probability that my third kid will be the same gender?”

It depends entirely on how much much you want the third not to be the same gender, and statistical likely outcome will map inversely to said desire at nearly 1:1.

My advice:

  • If you already have two boys, buy 3 years worth of boys clothing in advance. If it's another boy, you've saved a lot of trouble. If it's a girl, no one will care – women are pretty universally allowed to wear whatever they like. It's also less likely anyone will be confused and ask – they'll see the signs of extreme triandritis etched into your face.
  • If you already have two girls, it's not going to matter – they'll constantly dress up their smaller sibling like a little princess regardless of your intentions to nurture or subvert traditional gender norms.

If I have two kids of the same gender, what is the probability that my third kid will be the same gender?

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